ESEC/FSE 2021 CoLos
29th ACM Joint European Software Engineering Conference and Symposium on the Foundations of Software Engineering (ESEC/FSE 2021)
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17th International Conference on Predictive Models and Data Analytics in Software Engineering (PROMISE 2021), August 19–20, 2021, Athens, Greece

PROMISE 2021 – Proceedings

Contents - Abstracts - Authors

17th International Conference on Predictive Models and Data Analytics in Software Engineering (PROMISE 2021)


Title Page

Message from the Chairs
It is our pleasure to welcome you to the 17th ACM International Conference on Predictive Models and Data Analytics in Software Engineering (PROMISE 2021), to be held virtually on August 19-20th, 2021, co-located with the ACM Joint European Software Engineering Conference and Symposium on the Foundations of Software Engineering (ESEC/FSE 2021). PROMISE is an annual forum for researchers and practitioners to present, discuss and exchange ideas, results, expertise and experiences in the construction and/or application of predictive models and data analytics in software engineering. Such models and analyses could be targeted at planning, design, implementation, testing, maintenance, quality assurance, evaluation, process improvement, management, decision making, and risk assessment in software and systems development.


Heterogeneous Ensemble Imputation for Software Development Effort Estimation
Ibtissam Abnane, Ali Idri, Mohamed Hosni, and Alain Abran
(Mohammed V University, Morocco; Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, Morocco; Moulay Ismail University, Morocco; University of Quebec, Canada)
Choosing the appropriate Missing Data (MD) imputation technique for a given Software development effort estimation (SDEE) technique is not a trivial task. In fact, the impact of the MD imputation on the estimation output depends on the dataset and the SDEE technique used and there is no best imputation technique in all contexts. Thus, an attractive solution is to use more than one single imputation technique and combine their results for a final imputation outcome. This concept is called ensemble imputation and can help to significantly improve the estimation accuracy. This paper develops and evaluates a heterogeneous ensemble imputation whose members were the four single imputation techniques: K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Expectation Maximization (EM), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Decision Trees (DT). The impact of the ensemble imputation was evaluated and compared with those of the four single imputation techniques on the accuracy measured in terms of the standardized accuracy criterion of four SDEE techniques: Case Based Reasoning (CBR), Multi-Layers Perceptron (MLP), Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Reduced Error Pruning Tree (REPTree). The Wilcoxon statistical test was also performed in order to assess whether the results are significant. All the empirical evaluations were carried out over the six datasets, namely, ISBSG, China, COCOMO81, Desharnais, Kemerer, and Miyazaki. Results show that the use of heterogeneous ensemble-based imputation instead single imputation significantly improved the accuracy of the four SDEE techniques. Indeed, the ensemble imputation technique was ranked either first or second in all contexts.

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Multi-stream Online Transfer Learning for Software Effort Estimation: Is It Necessary?
Leandro L. MinkuORCID logo
(University of Birmingham, UK)
Software Effort Estimation (SEE) may suffer from changes in the relationship between features describing software projects and their required effort over time, hindering predictive performance of machine learning models. To cope with that, most machine learning-based SEE approaches rely on receiving a large number of Within-Company (WC) projects for training over time, being prohibitively expensive. The approach Dycom reduces the number of required WC training projects by transferring knowledge from Cross-Company (CC) projects. However, it assumes that CC projects have no chronology and are entirely available before WC projects start being estimated. Given the importance of taking chronology into account to cope with changes, it may be beneficial to also take the chronology of CC projects into account. This paper thus investigates whether and under what circumstances treating CC projects as multiple data streams to be learned over time may be useful for improving SEE. For that, an extension of Dycom called OATES is proposed to enable multi-stream online learning, so that both incoming WC and CC data streams can be learnt over time. OATES is then compared against Dycom and five other approaches on a case study using four different scenarios derived from the ISBSG Repository. The results show that OATES improved predictive performance over the state-of-the-art when the number of CC projects available beforehand was small. Learning CC projects over time as multiple data streams is thus recommended for improving SEE in such scenario. When the number of CC projects available beforehand was large, OATES obtained similar predictive performance to the state-of-the-art. Therefore, CC data streams are unnecessary in this scenario, but are not detrimental either.

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Comparative Study of Random Search Hyper-Parameter Tuning for Software Effort Estimation
Leonardo Villalobos-Arias and Christian Quesada-López
(University of Costa Rica, Costa Rica)
Empirical studies on software effort estimation have employed hyper-parameter tuning algorithms to improve model accuracy and stability. While these tuners can improve model performance, some might be overly complex or costly for the low dimensionality datasets used in SEE. In such cases a method like random search can potentially provide similar benefits as some of the existing tuners, with the advantage of using low amounts of resources and being simple to implement. In this study we evaluate the impact on model accuracy and stability of 12 state-of-the-art hyper-parameter tuning algorithms against random search, on 9 datasets of the PROMISE repository and 4 sub-datasets from the ISBSG R18 dataset. This study covers 2 traditional exhaustive tuners (grid and random searches), 6 bio-inspired algorithms, 2 heuristic tuners, and 3 model-based algorithms. The tuners are used to configure support vector regression, classification and regression trees, and ridge regression models. We aim to determine the techniques and datasets for which certain tuners were 1) more effective than default hyper-parameters, 2) more effective than random search, 3) which models(s) can be considered "the best" for which datasets. The results of this study show that hyper-parameter tuning was effective (increased accuracy and stability) in 862 (51%) of the 1,690 studied scenarios. The 12 state-of-the-art tuners were more effective than random search in 95 (6%) of the 1,560 studied (non-random search) scenarios. Although not effective in every dataset, the combination of flash tuning, logarithm transformation and support vector regression obtained top ranking in accuracy on the highest amount (8 out of 13) of datasets. Hyperband tuned ridge regression with logarithm transformation obtained top ranking in accuracy on the highest amount (10 out of 13) of datasets. We endorse the use of random search as a baseline for comparison for future studies that consider hyper-parameter tuning.

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CVEfixes: Automated Collection of Vulnerabilities and Their Fixes from Open-Source Software
Guru BhandariORCID logo, Amara NaseerORCID logo, and Leon MoonenORCID logo
(Simula Research Laboratory, Norway)
Data-driven research on the automated discovery and repair of security vulnerabilities in source code requires comprehensive datasets of real-life vulnerable code and their fixes. To assist in such research, we propose a method to automatically collect and curate a comprehensive vulnerability dataset from Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVE) records in the National Vulnerability Database (NVD). We implement our approach in a fully automated dataset collection tool and share an initial release of the resulting vulnerability dataset named CVEfixes. The CVEfixes collection tool automatically fetches all available CVE records from the NVD, gathers the vulnerable code and corresponding fixes from associated open-source repositories, and organizes the collected information in a relational database. Moreover, the dataset is enriched with meta-data such as programming language, and detailed code and security metrics at five levels of abstraction. The collection can easily be repeated to keep up-to-date with newly discovered or patched vulnerabilities. The initial release of CVEfixes spans all published CVEs up to 9 June 2021, covering 5365 CVE records for 1754 open-source projects that were addressed in a total of 5495 vulnerability fixing commits. CVEfixes supports various types of data-driven software security research, such as vulnerability prediction, vulnerability classification, vulnerability severity prediction, analysis of vulnerability-related code changes, and automated vulnerability repair.

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A Classification of Code Changes and Test Types Dependencies for Improving Machine Learning Based Test Selection
Khaled Al-Sabbagh ORCID logo, Miroslaw Staron ORCID logo, Regina Hebig ORCID logo, and Francisco Gomes ORCID logo
(Chalmers University of Technology, Sweden; University of Gothenburg, Sweden)
Machine learning has been increasingly used to solve various software engineering tasks. One example of their usage is in regression testing, where a classifier is built using historical code commits to predict which test cases require execution. In this paper, we address the problem of how to link specific code commits to test types to improve the predictive performance of learning models in improving regression testing. We design a dependency taxonomy of the content of committed code and the type of a test case. The taxonomy focuses on two types of code commits: changing memory management and algorithm complexity. We reviewed the literature, surveyed experienced testers from three Swedish-based software companies, and conducted a workshop to develop the taxonomy. The derived taxonomy shows that memory management code should be tested with tests related to performance, load, soak, stress, volume, and capacity; the complexity changes should be tested with the same dedicated tests and maintainability tests. We conclude that this taxonomy can improve the effectiveness of building learning models for regression testing.

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